January 15, 2026 | News by PISD
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 5
Tropical Depression #AdaPH
Issued at 11:00 AM, 15 January 2026
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.
“ADA” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WHILE MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF SURIGAO DEL NORTE.
Location of Center (10:00 AM):
The center of Tropical Depression ADA was estimated based on all available data at 420 km East of Surigao City, Surigao del Norte (9.6°N, 129.3°E).
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 70 km/h, and central pressure of 1000 hPa
Present Movement:
West northwestward at 10 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong winds extend outwards up to 400 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No.1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Luzon:
Sorsogon, the southeastern portion of Albay (Rapu-Rapu, Manito, Legazpi City, Bacacay, Santo Domingo), and Catanduanes
Visayas:
Northern Samar, Samar, Eastern Samar, the eastern portion of Biliran (Maripipi, Kawayan, Culaba, Caibiran, Cabucgayan), the eastern portion of Leyte (Carigara, Barugo, San Miguel, Babatngon, Tacloban City, Tunga, Jaro, Alangalang, Santa Fe, Palo, Dagami, Pastrana, Tanauan, Tabontabon, Julita, Dulag, Tolosa, La Paz, Mayorga, Macarthur, Javier, Abuyog, Mahaplag), and the eastern portion of Southern Leyte (Silago, Sogod, Libagon, Saint Bernard, Hinunangan, Hinundayan, Anahawan, San Juan, Liloan, San Ricardo, San Francisco, Pintuyan)
Mindanao:
Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, and Surigao del Sur
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 5 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone ADA.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The highest Wind Signal that may be hoisted throughout the passage of ADA is Wind Signal No. 2.
The Northeast Monsoon and the periphery of ADA will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
• Today: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Aurora, CALABARZON, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Marinduque, Cuyo Islands, Bicol Region, Visayas, Caraga Region, and Davao Oriental
• Tomorrow (16 January): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, eastern Isabela, Aurora, CALABARZON, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Marinduque, Cuyo Islands, Bicol Region, Visayas, Caraga Region.
• Saturday (17 January): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, northern and eastern mainland Cagayan, eastern Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Aurora, CALABARZON, Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Marinduque, Bicol Region, Visayas, and Caraga Region.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes, Northern Samar, and Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands; the eastern seaboards of Albay, Sorsogon, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, and Surigao del Sur.
• Up to 3.5 m: The seaboard of Camarines Norte; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the eastern seaboard of Polillo Islands.
• Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of Isabela, Aurora, and northern mainland Quezon; the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan and Davao Oriental; the northern seaboard of Polillo Islands.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboard of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and Ilocos Norte; the northern seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the eastern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes.
• Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Davao Occidental.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
Other coastal waters have wave heights of less than 2.0 m
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• ADA will move northwestward to north northwestward today through Sunday (18 January) before turning north northeastward by Monday (19 January). On the forecast track, ADA may pass close to Eastern Samar and Northern Samar on Friday (16 January) evening or Saturday (17 January) early morning before heading towards east of Catanduanes, where it is likely to make a close approach to the area on Saturday evening or Sunday morning. A further westward shift in the forecast track may result in a possible landfall over Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region.
• ADA is forecast to reach tropical storm category today and will continue to gradually intensify while moving over the Philippine Sea.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA https://www.facebook.com/orminpio/posts/pfbid0HCuZpXJ8FP8kLatPaM4HysuZFcmBDfe6EhZrzpZCgRG7Khd8bQ2QjSdm6dXpJxuCl?rdid=Qbwu7TJUOLMQhFMq#