November 1, 2025 | News by PISD
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NR. 2
Tropical Depression
Issued at 11:00 AM, 01 November 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today.
THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR) MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WHILE MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD.
Location of Center (10:00 AM):
The center of Tropical Depression was estimated based on all available data at 1,375 km East of Northeastern Mindanao (OUTSIDE PAR) (9.2°N, 138.8°E).
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 55 km/h, and central pressure of 1008 hPa.
Present Movement:
West northwestward at 15 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong winds extend outwards up to 280 km from the center
GENERAL OUTLOOK FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD
• This tropical cyclone (TC) is forecast to move generally west northwestward until it enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow (02 November) morning or afternoon. Once inside the PAR, it will be given the domestic name “TINO”. Inside PAR and while over the Philippine Sea, TINO will move more westward beginning tomorrow evening. On the forecast track, this TC may make its initial landfall over Caraga Region or Eastern Visayas between Monday (03 November) evening and Tuesday (04 November) morning. Afterwards, the TC will traverse much of Visayas, the northern portion of Sulu Sea, and the northern portion of Palawan, before emerging over the West Philippine Sea on Wednesday morning or afternoon. Close approach over Kalayaan Islands on Wednesday is also not ruled out at this time.
• This TC is forecast to intensify until before making landfall on Monday evening or Tuesday morning. It may reach tropical storm category within 24 hours and become a typhoon on Monday afternoon or evening. Rapid intensification is not ruled out before initial landfall. The initial landfall is likely to happen while the TC is at or near its peak intensity (currently forecasted at around 130 km/h, may still change in succeeding bulletins). Furthermore, current scenario shows that the TC will traverse the country and emerge over the West Philippine Sea as a typhoon.
• This TC is less likely to directly affect the weather and sea condition in the next 24 hours.
• Wind Signal No. 1 will be hoisted over Eastern Visayas and Caraga by tomorrow morning or afternoon. Based on the intensity forecast, the highest wind signal that will be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 4.
• Heavy rainfall may begin over Eastern Visayas and Caraga on Monday morning. A Weather Advisory will likely be issued today or tomorrow.
• Due to the combined effects of the approaching TC and a possible Northeast Monsoon surge, rough sea condition may be experienced over the northern, western, and eastern seaboards of Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao within the next 3 days. The same conditions will also affect the remaining seaboards of Luzon and Visayas and the northern and western seaboards of Mindanao from Monday evening until Wednesday (05 November). Gale Warnings will be issued as early as Monday morning in anticipation of very rough seas or worse.
• Storm Surge Warnings will likely be issued tomorrow in anticipation of potential threat of coastal flooding due to storm surge. The highest level of storm surge warning (i.e., red warning level) will likely be issued in view of the expected peak intensity of the approaching TC.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to continue monitoring for updates related to this tropical cyclone.
Unless there is an intermediate issuance, the next tropical cyclone advisory will be issued at 11:00 PM today.
Source: DOST-PAGASA